[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"ssr-repo-dspace000002718":3,"ssr-repo-divisions":72,"menu-footer-id":258,"menu-main-id":319},{"id":4,"title":5,"authors":6,"files":8,"advisors":35,"authors_detail":36,"advisors_detail":40,"publisher":41,"publish_place":42,"language":43,"type":44,"type_slug":45,"year":46,"department":47,"study_program":48,"keywords":49,"keywords_detail":56,"abstract":69,"abstract_html":70,"url":71},"repo-dspace000002718","Implementasi Metode Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average untuk Prediksi Penjualan Bahan Bangunan",[7],"Muhammad Akbar Nur Ihsan",[9,13,16,19,23,26,29,32],{"chapter":10,"requires_login":11,"label":12,"available":11},"abstrak",false,"Abstrak",{"chapter":14,"requires_login":11,"label":15,"available":11},"bab1","Bab I",{"chapter":17,"requires_login":11,"label":18,"available":11},"bab2","Bab II",{"chapter":20,"requires_login":21,"label":22,"available":11},"bab3",true,"Bab III",{"chapter":24,"requires_login":21,"label":25,"available":11},"bab4","Bab IV",{"chapter":27,"requires_login":21,"label":28,"available":11},"bab5","Bab V",{"chapter":30,"requires_login":21,"label":31,"available":11},"full","Dokumen Lengkap",{"chapter":33,"requires_login":11,"label":34,"available":21},"open","Akses Terbuka",[],[37],{"name":7,"nim":38,"slug":39},"2141720225","muhammad-akbar-nur-ihsan",[],"Politeknik Negeri Malang","Malang","Indonesia","Skripsi (D4)","skripsi-d4",2025,"D-IV TEKNIK INFORMATIKA",null,[50,51,52,53,54,55],"Prediksi Penjualan","ARIMA","MAE","MAPE","RMSE","System Usability Scale (SUS)",[57,59,61,63,65,67],{"name":50,"slug":58},"prediksi-penjualan",{"name":51,"slug":60},"arima",{"name":52,"slug":62},"mae",{"name":53,"slug":64},"mape",{"name":54,"slug":66},"rmse",{"name":55,"slug":68},"system-usability-scale-sus","Toko Besi Wahyu Jaya merupakan usaha keluarga yang bergerak di bidang penjualan besi dan cat yang telah memiliki beberapa cabang. Sistem pelayanan kasir yang masih bersifat manual menyebabkan berbagai permasalahan seperti keterlambatan pelayanan, kesalahan pencatatan transaksi, dan ketidakakuratan data keuangan. Selain itu, toko juga kerap menghadapi kekosongan stok akibat tidak adanya sistem prediksi permintaan barang. Untuk menjawab permasalahan tersebut, penelitian ini merancang dan mengimplementasikan sistem informasi kasir berbasis website yang dilengkapi dengan fitur prediksi penjualan menggunakan metode Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA). Evaluasi akurasi prediksi dilakukan menggunakan metrik MAE (Mean Absolute Error), MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error), dan RMSE (Root Mean Square Error). Hasil pengujian menunjukkan bahwa model ARIMA mampu memprediksi penjualan dengan tingkat kesalahan yang rendah dalam rentang cukup baik, yaitu didapatkan rata rata MAE sebesar 12.124, MAPE sebesar 20.84%, dan RMSE sebesar 15.259. Selain itu, hasil pengujian usability menggunakan System Usability Scale (SUS) menunjukkan rata-rata skor sebesar 80, yang menandakan bahwa sistem mudah digunakan dan diterima dengan baik oleh pengguna. Sistem ini diharapkan dapat membantu pemilik toko dalam pengambilan keputusan terkait manajemen stok dan pemesanan barang.","\u003Cp>Toko Besi Wahyu Jaya merupakan usaha keluarga yang bergerak di bidang penjualan besi dan cat yang telah memiliki beberapa cabang. Sistem pelayanan kasir yang masih bersifat manual menyebabkan berbagai permasalahan seperti keterlambatan pelayanan, kesalahan pencatatan transaksi, dan ketidakakuratan data keuangan. Selain itu, toko juga kerap menghadapi kekosongan stok akibat tidak adanya sistem prediksi permintaan barang. Untuk menjawab permasalahan tersebut, penelitian ini merancang dan mengimplementasikan sistem informasi kasir berbasis website yang dilengkapi dengan fitur prediksi penjualan menggunakan metode Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA). Evaluasi akurasi prediksi dilakukan menggunakan metrik MAE (Mean Absolute Error), MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error), dan RMSE (Root Mean Square Error). Hasil pengujian menunjukkan bahwa model ARIMA mampu memprediksi penjualan dengan tingkat kesalahan yang rendah dalam rentang cukup baik, yaitu didapatkan rata rata MAE sebesar 12.124, MAPE sebesar 20.84%, dan RMSE sebesar 15.259. Selain itu, hasil pengujian usability menggunakan System Usability Scale (SUS) menunjukkan rata-rata skor sebesar 80, yang menandakan bahwa sistem mudah digunakan dan diterima dengan baik oleh pengguna. Sistem ini diharapkan dapat membantu pemilik toko dalam pengambilan keputusan terkait manajemen stok dan pemesanan barang.\u003C\u002Fp>","https:\u002F\u002Frepository.polinema.ac.id\u002Fcollection\u002Fdetail?id=dspace000002718&year=2025&title=implementasi-metode-auto-regressive-integrated-moving-average-untuk-prediksi-penjualan-bahan-bangunan",[73,109,136,169,183,208,234,251],{"id":74,"name":75,"slug":76,"count":77,"prodi":78},"MsJu1506001","Administrasi Niaga","administrasi-niaga",3696,[79,84,88,93,97,101,105],{"name":80,"slug":81,"level":82,"count":83},"D-III ADMINISTRASI BISNIS","d-iii-administrasi-bisnis","D-III",1702,{"name":85,"slug":86,"level":82,"count":87},"D-III BAHASA INGGRIS","d-iii-bahasa-inggris",217,{"name":89,"slug":90,"level":91,"count":92},"D-IV BAHASA INGGRIS UNTUK INDUSTRI PARIWISATA","d-iv-bahasa-inggris-untuk-industri-pariwisata","D-IV",24,{"name":94,"slug":95,"level":91,"count":96},"D-IV BAHASA INGGRIS UNTUK KOMUNIKASI BISNIS DAN PROFESIONAL","d-iv-bahasa-inggris-untuk-komunikasi-bisnis-dan-profesional",103,{"name":98,"slug":99,"level":91,"count":100},"D-IV MANAJEMEN PEMASARAN","d-iv-manajemen-pemasaran",1624,{"name":102,"slug":103,"level":91,"count":104},"D-IV PENGELOLAAN ARSIP DAN REKAMAN INFORMASI","d-iv-pengelolaan-arsip-dan-rekaman-informasi",25,{"name":106,"slug":107,"level":48,"count":108},"JURUSAN ADMINISTRASI NIAGA","jurusan-administrasi-niaga",1,{"id":110,"name":111,"slug":112,"count":113,"prodi":114},"MsJu1506002","Akuntansi","akuntansi",3545,[115,119,123,127,131],{"name":116,"slug":117,"level":82,"count":118},"D-III AKUNTANSI","d-iii-akuntansi",1262,{"name":120,"slug":121,"level":91,"count":122},"D-IV AKUNTANSI MANAJEMEN","d-iv-akuntansi-manajemen",1954,{"name":124,"slug":125,"level":91,"count":126},"D-IV KEUANGAN","d-iv-keuangan",315,{"name":128,"slug":129,"level":48,"count":130},"JURUSAN AKUNTANSI","jurusan-akuntansi",11,{"name":132,"slug":133,"level":134,"count":135},"S2 SISTEM INFORMASI AKUNTANSI","s2-sistem-informasi-akuntansi","S2",3,{"id":137,"name":138,"slug":139,"count":140,"prodi":141},"MsJu1506003","Teknik Elektro","teknik-elektro",4394,[142,146,150,154,158,162,166],{"name":143,"slug":144,"level":82,"count":145},"D-III TEKNIK ELEKTRONIKA","d-iii-teknik-elektronika",588,{"name":147,"slug":148,"level":82,"count":149},"D-III TEKNIK LISTRIK","d-iii-teknik-listrik",533,{"name":151,"slug":152,"level":82,"count":153},"D-III TEKNIK TELEKOMUNIKASI","d-iii-teknik-telekomunikasi",534,{"name":155,"slug":156,"level":91,"count":157},"D-IV JARINGAN TELEKOMUNIKASI DIGITAL","d-iv-jaringan-telekomunikasi-digital",998,{"name":159,"slug":160,"level":91,"count":161},"D-IV SISTEM KELISTRIKAN","d-iv-sistem-kelistrikan",849,{"name":163,"slug":164,"level":91,"count":165},"D-IV TEKNIK ELEKTRONIKA","d-iv-teknik-elektronika",867,{"name":167,"slug":168,"level":134,"count":104},"S2 TEKNIK ELEKTRO","s2-teknik-elektro",{"id":170,"name":171,"slug":172,"count":173,"prodi":174},"MsJu1506004","Teknik Kimia","teknik-kimia",1039,[175,179],{"name":176,"slug":177,"level":82,"count":178},"D-III TEKNIK KIMIA","d-iii-teknik-kimia",507,{"name":180,"slug":181,"level":91,"count":182},"D-IV TEKNOLOGI KIMIA INDUSTRI","d-iv-teknologi-kimia-industri",532,{"id":184,"name":185,"slug":186,"count":187,"prodi":188},"MsJu1506005","Teknik Mesin","teknik-mesin",3198,[189,193,197,201,205],{"name":190,"slug":191,"level":82,"count":192},"D-III TEKNIK MESIN","d-iii-teknik-mesin",1875,{"name":194,"slug":195,"level":82,"count":196},"D-III TEKNOLOGI PEMELIHARAAN PESAWAT UDARA","d-iii-teknologi-pemeliharaan-pesawat-udara",82,{"name":198,"slug":199,"level":91,"count":200},"D-IV TEKNIK MESIN PRODUKSI dan PERAWATAN","d-iv-teknik-mesin-produksi-dan-perawatan",649,{"name":202,"slug":203,"level":91,"count":204},"D-IV TEKNIK OTOMOTIF ELEKTRONIK","d-iv-teknik-otomotif-elektronik",591,{"name":206,"slug":207,"level":134,"count":108},"S2 MAGISTER TERAPAN REKAYASA TEKNOLOGI MANUFAKTUR","s2-magister-terapan-rekayasa-teknologi-manufaktur",{"id":209,"name":210,"slug":211,"count":212,"prodi":213},"MsJu1506006","Teknik Sipil","teknik-sipil",2775,[214,218,222,226,230],{"name":215,"slug":216,"level":82,"count":217},"D-III TEKNIK SIPIL","d-iii-teknik-sipil",992,{"name":219,"slug":220,"level":82,"count":221},"D-III TEKNOLOGI KONSTRUKSI JALAN, JEMBATAN, dan BANGUNAN AIR","d-iii-teknologi-konstruksi-jalan-jembatan-dan-bangunan-air",179,{"name":223,"slug":224,"level":82,"count":225},"D-III TEKNOLOGI PERTAMBANGAN","d-iii-teknologi-pertambangan",91,{"name":227,"slug":228,"level":91,"count":229},"D-IV MANAJEMEN REKAYASA KONSTRUKSI","d-iv-manajemen-rekayasa-konstruksi",1434,{"name":231,"slug":232,"level":91,"count":233},"D-IV TEKNOLOGI REKAYASA KONSTRUKSI JALAN DAN JEMBATAN","d-iv-teknologi-rekayasa-konstruksi-jalan-dan-jembatan",79,{"id":235,"name":236,"slug":237,"count":238,"prodi":239},"MsJu1506007","Teknologi Informasi","teknologi-informasi",2300,[240,244,248],{"name":241,"slug":242,"level":82,"count":243},"D-III MANAJEMEN INFORMATIKA","d-iii-manajemen-informatika",694,{"name":245,"slug":246,"level":91,"count":247},"D-IV SISTEM INFORMASI BISNIS","d-iv-sistem-informasi-bisnis",208,{"name":47,"slug":249,"level":91,"count":250},"d-iv-teknik-informatika",1398,{"id":48,"name":252,"slug":253,"count":254,"prodi":255},"Tanpa prodi","tanpa-prodi",258,[256],{"name":41,"slug":257,"level":48,"count":254},"politeknik-negeri-malang",[259,282,298],[260,266,270,274,278],{"id":261,"parent":262,"target":263,"content":264,"title":264,"url":265},2500,"0","","Polinema Malang","https:\u002F\u002Fpolinema.ac.id\u002F",{"id":267,"parent":262,"target":263,"content":268,"title":268,"url":269},2536,"Bahasa","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.polinema.ac.id\u002Flayanan\u002Funit-pelaksana-teknis\u002Fupt-bahasa\u002F",{"id":271,"parent":262,"target":263,"content":272,"title":272,"url":273},2537,"Humas","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.polinema.ac.id\u002Flayanan\u002Funit-pelaksana-teknis\u002Fupt-humas\u002F",{"id":275,"parent":262,"target":263,"content":276,"title":276,"url":277},2538,"MKU","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.polinema.ac.id\u002Flayanan\u002Funit-pelaksana-teknis\u002Fupt-mku\u002F",{"id":279,"parent":262,"target":263,"content":280,"title":280,"url":281},2539,"Penelitian dan Pengabdian","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.polinema.ac.id\u002Flayanan\u002Funit-pelaksana-teknis\u002Fupt-p2m\u002F",[283,287,291,295],{"id":284,"parent":262,"target":263,"content":285,"title":285,"url":286},2771,"Percetakan","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.polinema.ac.id\u002Flayanan\u002Funit-pelaksana-teknis\u002Fupt-percetakan\u002F",{"id":288,"parent":262,"target":263,"content":289,"title":289,"url":290},2772,"Pemeliharaan dan Perawatan","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.polinema.ac.id\u002Flayanan\u002Funit-pelaksana-teknis\u002Fupt-pp\u002F",{"id":292,"parent":262,"target":263,"content":293,"title":293,"url":294},2773,"Pusat Komputer","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.polinema.ac.id\u002Flayanan\u002Fpuskom\u002F",{"id":212,"parent":262,"target":263,"content":296,"title":296,"url":297},"Job Placement Center","http:\u002F\u002Fjpc.polinema.ac.id\u002F",[299,303,307,311,315],{"id":300,"parent":262,"target":263,"content":301,"title":301,"url":302},2501,"Admisi","http:\u002F\u002Fadmisi.polinema.ac.id\u002F",{"id":304,"parent":262,"target":263,"content":305,"title":305,"url":306},2570,"Alumni","http:\u002F\u002Falumni.polinema.ac.id\u002F",{"id":308,"parent":262,"target":263,"content":309,"title":309,"url":310},2571,"Beasiswa","http:\u002F\u002Fbeasiswa.polinema.ac.id\u002F",{"id":312,"parent":262,"target":263,"content":313,"title":313,"url":314},2572,"LPSE","http:\u002F\u002Flpse.polinema.ac.id\u002Feproc4",{"id":316,"parent":262,"target":263,"content":317,"title":317,"url":318},2574,"Simpeg","https:\u002F\u002Fsimpeg.polinema.ac.id\u002F",[320,379,397,419],{"id":321,"parent":262,"target":263,"content":322,"title":322,"url":323,"children":324,"dropdown":378},2534,"Layanan","https:\u002F\u002Flibrary.polinema.ac.id\u002Flayanan\u002F",[325,330,334,338,342,346,350,354,358,362,366,370,374],{"id":326,"parent":327,"target":263,"content":328,"title":328,"url":329},2474,"2534","Koleksi Umum","https:\u002F\u002Flibrary.polinema.ac.id\u002Flayanan\u002Fkoleksi-umum\u002F",{"id":331,"parent":327,"target":263,"content":332,"title":332,"url":333},2493,"Sirkulasi","https:\u002F\u002Flibrary.polinema.ac.id\u002Flayanan\u002Fsirkulasi\u002F",{"id":335,"parent":327,"target":263,"content":336,"title":336,"url":337},2475,"Loker","https:\u002F\u002Flibrary.polinema.ac.id\u002Flayanan\u002Floker\u002F",{"id":339,"parent":327,"target":263,"content":340,"title":340,"url":341},2492,"Referensi dan Karya Ilmiah","https:\u002F\u002Flibrary.polinema.ac.id\u002Flayanan\u002Fkoleksi-referensi-dan-laporan-akhir\u002F",{"id":343,"parent":327,"target":263,"content":344,"title":344,"url":345},3792,"Layanan Penelusuran Informasi Secara Online","https:\u002F\u002Flibrary.polinema.ac.id\u002Flayanan\u002Flayanan-penelusuran-informasi-secara-online\u002F",{"id":347,"parent":327,"target":263,"content":348,"title":348,"url":349},4460,"Layanan Keanggotaan","https:\u002F\u002Flibrary.polinema.ac.id\u002Flayanan\u002Flayanan-keanggotaan-2\u002F",{"id":351,"parent":327,"target":263,"content":352,"title":352,"url":353},3745,"Baca Ditempat","https:\u002F\u002Flibrary.polinema.ac.id\u002Flayanan\u002Flayanan-baca-ditempat\u002F",{"id":355,"parent":327,"target":263,"content":356,"title":356,"url":357},2473,"Koleksi Tandon","https:\u002F\u002Flibrary.polinema.ac.id\u002Flayanan\u002Fkoleksi-tandon\u002F",{"id":359,"parent":327,"target":263,"content":360,"title":360,"url":361},3823,"Jasa Silang Layan Perpustakaan","https:\u002F\u002Flibrary.polinema.ac.id\u002Flayanan\u002Fjasa-silang-layan-perpustakaan\u002F",{"id":363,"parent":327,"target":263,"content":364,"title":364,"url":365},3832,"Layanan Multimedia","https:\u002F\u002Flibrary.polinema.ac.id\u002Flayanan\u002Flayanan-multimedia\u002F",{"id":367,"parent":327,"target":263,"content":368,"title":368,"url":369},3834,"Layanan Literasi Informasi","https:\u002F\u002Flibrary.polinema.ac.id\u002Flayanan\u002Flayanan-literasi-informasi\u002F",{"id":371,"parent":327,"target":263,"content":372,"title":372,"url":373},3835,"Layanan Penyedia Dokumen","https:\u002F\u002Flibrary.polinema.ac.id\u002Flayanan\u002Flayanan-penyedia-dokumen\u002F",{"id":375,"parent":327,"target":263,"content":376,"title":376,"url":377},2489,"Administrasi Perpustakaan","https:\u002F\u002Flibrary.polinema.ac.id\u002Flayanan\u002Fadministrasi-perpustakaan\u002F","layanan",{"id":380,"parent":262,"target":263,"content":381,"title":381,"url":382,"children":383,"dropdown":396},2838,"e-Resources","https:\u002F\u002Flibrary.polinema.ac.id\u002Fe-resources\u002Fe-book\u002F",[384,388,392],{"id":385,"parent":386,"target":263,"content":387,"title":387,"url":382},2577,"2838","e-Book",{"id":389,"parent":386,"target":263,"content":390,"title":390,"url":391},2578,"e-Journal","https:\u002F\u002Flibrary.polinema.ac.id\u002Fe-resources\u002Fe-journal\u002F",{"id":393,"parent":386,"target":263,"content":394,"title":394,"url":395},90001,"Open Access","https:\u002F\u002Flibrary.polinema.ac.id\u002Fe-resources\u002Fopen-access\u002F","e-resources",{"id":398,"parent":262,"target":263,"content":399,"title":399,"url":400,"children":401,"dropdown":418},2837,"Informasi","https:\u002F\u002Flibrary.polinema.ac.id\u002Fcategory\u002Fpengumuman\u002F",[402,407,410,414],{"id":403,"parent":404,"target":263,"content":405,"title":405,"url":406},2491,"2837","Jam Layanan","https:\u002F\u002Flibrary.polinema.ac.id\u002Flayanan\u002Fjam-layanan\u002F",{"id":408,"parent":404,"target":263,"content":409,"title":409,"url":400},2766,"Pengumuman",{"id":411,"parent":404,"target":263,"content":412,"title":412,"url":413},2514,"Berita","https:\u002F\u002Flibrary.polinema.ac.id\u002Fcategory\u002Fberita\u002F",{"id":415,"parent":404,"target":263,"content":416,"title":416,"url":417},2515,"Artikel","https:\u002F\u002Flibrary.polinema.ac.id\u002Fcategory\u002Fartikel\u002F","informasi",{"id":420,"parent":262,"target":263,"content":421,"title":421,"url":422,"children":423,"dropdown":453},2482,"Profil","https:\u002F\u002Flibrary.polinema.ac.id\u002Fprofil\u002F",[424,429,433,437,441,445,449],{"id":425,"parent":426,"target":263,"content":427,"title":427,"url":428},2483,"2482","Sejarah","https:\u002F\u002Flibrary.polinema.ac.id\u002Fprofil\u002Fsejarah\u002F",{"id":430,"parent":426,"target":263,"content":431,"title":431,"url":432},2487,"Visi, Misi dan Tujuan","https:\u002F\u002Flibrary.polinema.ac.id\u002Fprofil\u002Fvisi-misi-dan-tujuan\u002F",{"id":434,"parent":426,"target":263,"content":435,"title":435,"url":436},2484,"Staf Perpustakaan","https:\u002F\u002Flibrary.polinema.ac.id\u002Fprofil\u002Fstaf-perpustakaan\u002F",{"id":438,"parent":426,"target":263,"content":439,"title":439,"url":440},2485,"Struktur Organisasi Perpustakaan","https:\u002F\u002Flibrary.polinema.ac.id\u002Fprofil\u002Fstruktur-organisasi-perpustakaan\u002F",{"id":442,"parent":426,"target":263,"content":443,"title":443,"url":444},2486,"Tata Tertib","https:\u002F\u002Flibrary.polinema.ac.id\u002Fprofil\u002Ftata-tertib\u002F",{"id":446,"parent":426,"target":263,"content":447,"title":447,"url":448},3705,"Statistik","https:\u002F\u002Flibrary.polinema.ac.id\u002Fprofil\u002Fstatistik\u002F",{"id":450,"parent":426,"target":263,"content":451,"title":451,"url":452},4990,"Standard Operating Procedure (SOP)","https:\u002F\u002Flibrary.polinema.ac.id\u002Fprofil\u002Fstandard-operating-procedure-sop-2\u002F","profil"]